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What is the chance that you will get the same Pokemon in a hidden grotto?

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Example: let's just say I find a pinsir in the hidden grotto in the Lostlorn Forest. What is the chance that I will get another pinsir again?

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asked Aug 2 by The Trapinchinator

2 Answers

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Best answer

If you consider each time as seperate from each other, without any relation, then the individual rate will remain the same. However, a basic knowledge of "Probability" will allow you to realise that the actual chance of getting it twice in a row will be lower

Lets use your Pinsir as an example.
Pinsir's chance will be 0.75% on the first day
On the second say, the rate that is in the game, will still be 0.75%.

However this is where it gets a little bit confusing
0.75% = 75/10000
(75/10000)^2 (Probabilty rule n^r) = 5625/100000000, or 0.005625% chance that it will occur twice in a row. That would technically be your 'actual chance' of seeing a Pinsir yet again.

answered Aug 2 by Sempiternus
Holy math, thanks!
0 votes

According to Bulbapadia, it is 0.75% in B2 and 0.25% in W2.

In short, it is the same as before.

Source: http://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/Hidden_Grotto

answered Aug 2 by [Dark Star] Greninja