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ok, so I am trying to get a shiny Absol to mega evolve it. I currently have a girl absol in the daycare with a seviper, both from the US. what are the odds of getting a shiny with these pkmn?

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If it is in gen VI 1 in 4096. If not,1 in 8192, Which is the standard chance. Why? You are not using any boosting methods currently such as the Masuda Method, or A Shiny Charm.
Source: http://www.ign.com/wikis/pokemon-omega-ruby-alpha-sapphire/Shiny_Pokemon
http://www.serebii.net/games/shiny.shtml

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1 in 4096

With no items or processes that increase, the shiny rate will always remain 1 in 4096. Below Gen VI, it would be 1 in 8092.

Hope this helps!

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