What are the odds of moving if...

Question

Your paralyzed and have been hit by a Serene grace Togekiss air slash? With and without kings rock.

Thanks:)

Answer 1

I think Sam did this a bit too complicated, so here's the simple version:

1. Paralysis means a 75% chance of being able to attack
2. Air Slash means 70% able to attack
3. Air Slash + Serene Grace = 40% able to attack
4. Air Slash + Serene Grace + King's Rock is apparently 36%.

So, for #1 and #3, that's 0.750.4 = 0.3 or 30% chance to attack.
For #1 and #4 it's 0.750.36 = 0.27 or 27% chance to attack.

Comments

Hahaha, l guess l did, huh? This was driving me a little nuts, so this is what l did!

Answer 2

Well that's just a bit of math.
When you're paralyzed, you will have a 75% chance to act at all.
A Serene Grace Togekiss using Air Slash will have a (30x2) 60% chance to make you flinch.

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So, in the start of the turn, Togekiss uses Air Slash, and on your turn:
If my calculations are correct:
Paralysis will allow you only a 75% chance to act, and within that 75% chance to act is a 40% chance to act.

I created a tree diagram: (0 = No action / ☆ = Action)

Paralysis:
0 ☆ ☆ ☆

Air Slash: (simplified)

• 0 : 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

• ☆ : 0 0 0 0 0 0 ☆ ☆ ☆ ☆

• ☆ : 0 0 0 0 0 0 ☆ ☆ ☆ ☆

• ☆ : 0 0 0 0 0 0 ☆ ☆ ☆ ☆

Basically each branch is the possibility from the Paralysis.
There is a total of 40 paths (simplified), and a total of 12 places where you are able to act based on probability.
So it will be a 12/40 chance to act, or simplified 3/10.
You will have a 30% to act, assuming you don't get KO'ed, you are still slower than the Togekiss, and that no priority moves are being used.

This may be incorrect, but l am sure it isn't.