Answer 1

You have a 1/8192 chance with any shiny unless using Massuda method - breed with a Pokemon from a different language/country that outs your chance around 1/2000

Normal breeding shiny chance-0.0122%
Massuda method-0.5% chance which is still very low
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Comments

Malaysia method? :( ??? (confused face)

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Oops iPod spell check I'll have to fix that