Question

What is the chance of finding 2 shiny pokémon in a row?

Comments

Depends on the game and conditions.

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It depends. Is it full odds, murder method, masuda method, or chaining? What species in what location if it is just catching a wild Pokemon (the spawn rate would affect the rarity I believe)?

Answer 1

The chance is odds^2. So for full odds pre-Gen 6, that’s (1/8192)^2, or 1/67,108,864. Full odds post-Gen 6 is (1/4096)^2, or 1/16,777,216. If there are any other methods you want to know the odds of double shinies, just take the base odds of that method and plug it into the formula.

Comments

Is there a better chance to win the lottery than this? Lol

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Depending on which lottery you’re entering, the top prize can have a chance as rare as 1/300,000,000, so you’re actually significantly more likely to run into full odds back-to-back shinies, even pre-Gen 6.

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Oh dang, thanks. Ill remember that the next time i buy a lottery ticket lol

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probably a better chance of winning the lottery in pokemon at least lol