PokéBase - Pokémon Q&A
2 votes

I tried googling this, but all I got were chances of a female starter or chances of a shiny starter. I want to know the chances of getting both a shiny, female starter (mostly because I'm soft resetting in Platinum for Chimchar and got really curious). Thank you!

edited by
Well only 1/8 starters are female, so it should be 8X rarer than a normal shiny.

2 Answers

2 votes
Best answer

In Gen 4, the chances to get a shiny female starter is 0.001525878%.

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Sources: https://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/Turtwig_(Pok%C3%A9mon) https://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/Shiny_Pok%C3%A9mon I think this answer assumes the 2 chances are independent, which might not be true. @Taco Are you sure they're independent?
How could either gender or shininess be dependent? Shininess can happen with both genders of Pokemon, can it not? It's been a while since I did anything with statistics, so I might be misinterpreting something, but why would shininess be determined based on gender?
They're both based on personality, so it's possible that males and females have different shiny chances.
3 votes

About 0.002% chance for a female shiny starter in Generation 4.

About 0.003% chance for a female shiny starter from Generation 6 onwards.

Source: HT's answer
Source: Fourth comment down.

Hope I helped!

edited by
Commenting so X remembers to edit this at some point
I should probably just hide this answer tbh, it has nothing HT's doesn't.