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I have just walked into the Opening Ceremony with a level 17 Honedge that I caught in a purple raid den. So, what I would like to know is what is the chances of me catching a Honedge in a purple raid den at the Watch Tower Ruins (where I caught it) before the Opening Ceremony in Pokémon Shield?

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According to Serebii, the chances of getting a Honedge in a Rare Raid Den are 35% for a 1 Star Raid.

Also, they listed the Rare Raid Den by Watch Tower Ruins as Den #47.

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Thank you