I’ve always wondered if shiny Smeargle on GO-SNAPSHOT was possible and the odds of it. Please tell me the odds of finding a Smeargle in GO-SNAPSHOT and compare it to the odds of finding it shiny though never encountering it before.
Though Smeargle is normally shiny locked in Pokémon Go, it can be found shiny in certain global events. These events tend to come around annually, so another is likely to happen in the following months. The latest of these events were the Festival of Colors in 2025.
Plenty of sites claim the odds of a shiny Smeargle to be 1/64 while it's obtainable, though I couldn't find where these odds were pulled from.
Shiny Smeargle has not currently been announced by Niantic, and there were no reported sightings by players at the time of publication.
More than likely, no. Considering how many people spend their days grinding for shinies, if Shiny Smeargle existed, it would've been found already. Add to that the fact that Shiny Smeargle hasn't even been announced yet, and it makes Shiny Smeargle pretty unlikely. Do note that there is the possibility that the chance could simply be incredibly small or no one has gotten lucky enough. However, this seems like a bit of a stretch. Source
