PokéBase - Pokémon Q&A
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I mainly ask because a Shiny Piplup came to my Café, so I got curious. There are also events that increase the chances of finding specific Shiny Pokémon, but I'm not sure what those odds are either.

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Where does the figure in that comment originally come from?
They are a dataminer for the game apparently
Where do they say this? Are there links to any data they've found?
If you look at their content a lot of their stuff is just simplified datamining for a wider audience.