PokéBase - Pokémon Q&A
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For example, if I were to shiny hunt the HGSS starters. On the menu, I get a shiny Tododile, but I select Cyndaquil. Would Silver’s/Rival’s Tododile stay shiny?

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pretty sure all NPC Pokemon in gen 4 have fixed personalities and OTs, which means they can never be shiny.

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NPCs can only have a shiny if it is preset to be shiny. And since it is not preset for your rival, so no, it will not be shiny, just like sumwun said in the comment.

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Hope I helped! Have a great day!

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how do you know that silver’s Pokémon are preset?
According to https://www.speedrun.com/pkmnhgss/guide/k2zij , they have fixed IVs and natures.