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I've been looking for an Effect Spore Shroomish, and I have caught at least 15 Shroomish! All of them have the Poison Heal ability! What are the chances of this?

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The Chances are 50%. You probably have bad luck or your not patient enough :P

Source: Experience

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Probably bad luck... And I also noticed most of them are female... Weird...
I guess you attract the Ladies XD