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Does anyone know

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I imagine it would be an unpopular Pokemon, since the overwhelming majority of Shinies are produced by Breeders.
Arceus would be rarest in my opinoin
Manaphy is the rarest shiny ever. You can only get one chance per Pokemon Ranger cartridge, and the egg you obtain has the regular 1/8192 chance of being a shiny.
U could get a shiny arceus from an event a while ago

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Statistically speaking, Blaze2664 is correct. But I'd also like to point out Shiny Hunter Luna's comment.

The method to obtaining Manaphy is relatively simple. First, obtain the game, Pokemon Ranger: Shadows of Almia. Good game by the way, played it myself. Next, beat the entire game. Yes, to get the manaphy egg, you have to beat the entire game. At the end of the game, you should receive a mission to find the egg. Once you've found it and you've obtained the code for it, it is then possible for you to trade the Manaphy egg to a generation four Pokemon game. Now, you have to trade it to another generation four game. Once you've done all this, whatever method you use to hatch it doesn't matter.

Congrats, you've won yourself a ticket to a 1/8192 chance of getting a shiny Manaphy. And the best part if you fail? You can't reset your game to try to get another one! You have to beat the entire Pokemon Ranger game, again!

I'm sorry if this answer seems pessimistic, but a shiny Manaphy is probably the rarest you can get in terms of shiny Pokemon. I hope this helps. Reason why this happens can be found in Bulbapedia's trivia section: here.

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Actually you can't reset the game to get another egg, it is a one time code, you would have to buy another cartridge
Yeah you have to buy another cartridge
5 votes

There is not a shiny Pokemon that is rarer than any other. The chance of finding a shiny Pokemon is 1 in 8192. There are many items such as the Pokérader or methods such as chain fishing to help increase the chance of finding a shiny. But, the legendary Pokemon and some wild Pokemon are ensured to never be caught or found shiny in the game, without a hack such as the powersave or action replay (making them shiny). Some Pokemon may be more common than others - which could make the rarer Pokemon harder to encounter as a shiny. But the answer to your question is that there is NO particular Pokemon that has a rarer shiny than any other Pokemon.

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Wouldn't the hardest Pokémon to encounter in all of the games be the most difficult Shiny to obtain as well?
I thought it would be a vespiquen or a beutifly/dustox because vespiquen has to be female (12.5 chance) and beutifly/dustox has to evolve by personality.

But thanks for answering ! :D
i thinking arceus since its unobatianble other than event
Many event exclusives are shiny locked, so they have a 0/8192 chance of being shiny.
By the way, it's 1/4096 for Generation VI and shininess is determined separately from gender (though I'm not sure about Wurmple evolution).
3 votes

I know I'm kinda late buuut I'm pretty sure that Mew is the rarest Shiny Pokémon. The only way to ever obtain a Shiny Mew was through the Old Sea Map event from Pokémon Emerald. Now the tricky part is that this event only ran for a limited time (about a month) at Pokémon Festa conventions in 2005 in Japan. And not only that, but this event only allowed the player to encounter a Mew, which means you would've still have to reset until you found a Shiny one to capture.

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2 votes

Hi there
I don’t think the fact that all Pokémon have the same shiny rate. I also don’t think that manaphy is the rarest shiny either!
To me, the rarest shiny in Pokémon is the Identical spot shiny Spinda. A Spinda's spot pattern is determined by its personality value, meaning that there can be exactly 4,294,967,296 different Spinda. Which mean that if you want to find the spinda with one identical spot, you need to encounter at least 35,184,372,088,832 spinda (if my calculations isn’t wrong)

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Spindas with different spots are still the same Pokemon species, so this probably doesn't count as a rare Pokemon.
Also, I'm pretty sure there is not 4,294,967,296 different Spinda- that would mean there are different Spinda that can only have a certain spot pattern for each nature, as well as having either 4,294,967,296 Spinda sprites programmed or a generator of them that is somehow consistent across multiple games, or isn't and shows the game equivalent. I also read in some ORAS guides by the Pokémon Company, that there were only 31-36 (I don't remember the exact number) Spinda sprites programmed into ORAS. :P
@Staka Bulbapedia's trivia section claims that there are 4 billion+ Spinda patters. https://bulbapedia.bulbagarden.net/wiki/Spinda_(Pokémon)#Trivia
1 vote

The rarest Shiny Pokemon is probably a Shiny Shadow Pokemon that retains its shininess in Pokemon Colosseum. Finding a Shiny Shadow Pokemon is simply a 1/8192 chance like all other Pokemon before gen 6, but there was a glitch in Pokemon Colosseum that basically makes all shiny Shadow Pokemon have a recheck for their shiny making the shiny odds 8192*8192, which makes the odds of a Shiny Shadow Pokemon that retains it shininess being, 1/67,108,864. Which makes it the hardest single Pokemon to shiny hunt.

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