PokéBase - Pokémon Q&A
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What Pokemon are you breeding?

2 Answers

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While Kyoka's answer is 100% true, we can at least find averages.

If you're breeding for a Pokémon with 20 egg cycles (roughly the average for Pokémon that can breed), then it'll take you about 2570 steps to hatch it if you have a Pokémon with Flame Body or Magma Armor in your party. You can have up to 5 eggs in your party at once, but sometimes you get a bit unlucky with when the day care finds the egg, so you might not always have 5 eggs. Let's assume that you can hatch 3.7 eggs per 2570 steps on average.

My own testing showed that it takes about ~1.77 seconds to move 10 steps when using the Mach Bike in ORAS. The egg hatching animation takes about 20 seconds per egg, and depositing a breedject in your PC takes about 10 seconds. Let's also assume that you're not 100% efficient and add a 1.3x multiplier to the end result for miscellaneous lost time.


Full odds:
(4096 * (2570/3.7) * 0.177 + 4096 * (20+10)) * 1.3 = 814,392 seconds, or 9 days, 10 hours, and 13 minutes of nonstop hunting.

Charm odds:
(1365 * (2570/3.7) * 0.177 + 1365 * (20+10)) * 1.3 = 271,398 seconds, or 3 days, 3 hours, and 23 minutes of nonstop hunting.

If you want to compare against Masuda odds:

Masuda Method, no Shiny Charm:
(683 * (2570/3.7) * 0.177 + 683 * (20+10)) * 1.3 = 135,798 seconds, or 1 day, 13 hours, and 43 minutes of nonstop hunting.

Masuda Method + Shiny Charm:
(512 * (2570/3.7) * 0.177 + 512 * (20+10)) * 1.3 = 101,799 seconds, or 1 day, 4 hours, and 17 minutes of nonstop hunting.


Keep in mind that these are all averages, with quite a few assumptions and estimations thrown in. How long it actually takes you will likely vary drastically from these numbers, either longer or shorter.

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There is no definite answer to this as shiny breeding is purely rng, and being purely rng, you cannot guarantee it to be shiny. It could range from your first egg being the shiny or the five thousandth. The only thing you could really do is hope for the best

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