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How likely is it that I got Moltres down to the lowest HP possible without killing it, then used 20 Great Balls and 15 Ultra Balls and didn't catch it?

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I'm assuming this is LeafGreen based on your previous questions?
yeah pretty much all my questions are lg until I start a new game.
Moltres has a catch rate of 3%. It's not going to be an easy birb to catch.
lol.    .

1 Answer

1 vote

Great Balls

You have a 1.234% chance of capturing it per ball. Thus, you have at least a 50% chance of catching it within 56 balls and at least a 95% chance of catching it within 242 balls.

Ultra Balls

You have a 2.106% chance of capturing it per ball. Thus, you have at least a 50% chance of catching it within 33 balls and at least a 95% chance of catching it within 141 balls.

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1 - ((1 - 1.234%)^20 * (1 - 2.106%)^15) = 0.433 (or 43.3%)
You should probably try putting the Moltres to sleep.

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That's some math right there